Summary
This article provides an in - depth analysis of the Chinese pesticide market in 2025. It covers policy and regulatory dynamics like the "one certificate, one product" policy and the acceleration of transgenic crop promotion. The market analysis of key pesticide products, including herbicides, insecticides, etc., is elaborated. The industry competition pattern, emerging trends, international market dynamics are also explored. Finally, it points out the future challenges such as cost pressure and regulatory risks, as well as opportunities like biotechnology breakthroughs and the circular economy model.
I. Policy and Regulatory Dynamics
1. The "One Certificate, One Product" Policy Reshapes the Industry Pattern
1. Policy Impact: In 2025, the "one certificate, one product" policy was fully implemented, requiring that each pesticide product corresponds to one certificate. It is expected that 80% of the existing products will withdraw from the market, and the market will be greatly purified. Leading enterprises have an advantage with sufficient certificate resources, while small and medium - sized enterprises face the pressure of elimination.
2. Market Adjustment: In provinces such as Shandong and Guangdong, there was a sudden upsurge in certificate applications in the short term. For example, Shandong plans to apply for more than 3,000 new certificates within two years, making differentiated products (such as special pesticide - fertilizers) the focus of competition.
2. Accelerated Promotion of Genetically Modified Crops
1. Policy Support: At the end of 2024, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs approved 12 genetically modified organism biosafety certificates. The planting areas of insect - resistant (IR) and herbicide - tolerant (HT) corn and soybeans are expanding rapidly, driving a sharp increase in the demand for glyphosate. It is expected that the annual new demand for glyphosate in China will reach 50,000 - 80,000 tons in the next five years.
2. Enterprise Layout: Enterprises such as Bayer and Xin'an Chemical are accelerating their layout in the herbicide market for genetically modified crops. For example, Xin'an Chemical has served genetically modified crop areas of more than 2 million mu.
II. Market Analysis of Key Pesticide Products
1. Bulk Herbicides: Glyphosate and Glufosinate - ammonium
1. Price Fluctuations: In 2023, the price of glyphosate dropped from 48,100 yuan/ton to 26,500 yuan/ton, and the price of glufosinate - ammonium was halved from 153,600 yuan/ton to 68,500 yuan/ton, mainly due to international - stocking and the release of new domestic production capacity. It is expected that the price will stabilize in the second half of 2024, but glufosinate - ammonium may continue to be under pressure.
2. Demand Structure: Genetically modified crops are driving the recovery of glyphosate demand, while the traditional crop market is turning to high - efficiency and low - toxicity alternatives (such as L - glufosinate - ammonium).
2. Insecticides: Chlorantraniliprole and Prothioconazole
1. Market Performance: In 2023, the price of chlorantraniliprole dropped by more than 40%, and the price of prothioconazole dropped by 30%, reflecting overcapacity and weak demand. In the future, enterprises need to reduce costs and increase efficiency through process optimization (such as continuous - flow synthesis technology).
3. Pesticide - fertilizers: Explosive Growth
1. Market Scale: In 2024, the number of pesticide - fertilizer registration certificates in China reached 1,236. Key products include sugarcane pesticide - fertilizers (with a market share of over 60% in Guangxi) and rice pesticide - fertilizers (with Guangdong as the core market), mainly for controlling underground pests and enhancing nutrition.
2. Competition Pattern: Traditional fertilizer enterprises (such as Sinochem and Yuntianhua) have entered the market across industries. Liquid pesticide - fertilizers and small organic - carrier pesticide - fertilizers have become the breakthrough points for differentiation.
4. Biological Agents: A High - growth Track
1. Market Growth Rate: It is expected that the compound annual growth rate of biological agents from 2025 - 2030 will exceed 10%. Giants such as Syngenta and Bayer are increasing their layout. Domestic enterprises such as Noposion have launched the "Jundao" series of biological fungicides, and Zhongxun Agrochemical focuses on biostimulants.
2. Application Scenarios: The penetration rate of microbial agents (such as Bacillus subtilis) in the prevention and control of fruit and vegetable diseases is increasing. Biological herbicides (such as fungal - source products) are being piloted and promoted in tea gardens and orchards.
III. Industry Competition Pattern and Regional Markets
1. Increasing Differentiation among Enterprises
1. Leading - enterprise Effect: In 2024, 13 Chinese pesticide enterprises entered the global top 20, and the market share of the top ten in preparation sales continued to increase. Integrated enterprises such as Yangnong Chemical and ADAMA enhanced their anti - cyclical capabilities through the "technical + preparation" model.
2. Regional Concentration: The technical production capacity of Jiangsu, Shandong, and Zhejiang provinces accounts for 70% of the country's total. Sichuan and Guangxi have become new bases for pesticide - fertilizer production.
2. Channel Changes and Digitalization
1. Online Penetration: In 2024, the online sales volume of pesticides reached 13.547 billion yuan (accounting for 13.5%), and the annual growth rate of agricultural e - commerce was 23.89%. Douyin and Kuaishou have become the main positions for new product promotion, and the conversion rate of live - streaming sales of leading enterprises exceeds 15%.
2. Service Upgrade: Dealers are turning to the "technology + product" service model. For example, the "integration of pesticide and fertilizer" field trusteeship implemented in the Guangxi region has increased customer stickiness by 30%.
IV. Emerging Trends and Innovative Products
1. Nanopesticides and Intelligent Formulations
1. Technical Breakthroughs: Nanomicroencapsulated glyphosate (particle size < 100nm) achieves slow - release and efficiency enhancement, reducing the amount of pesticide used by 20%; special suspensions for drones (such as 5% emamectin benzoate microemulsion) meet the needs of precise pesticide application.
2. Green Alternatives
1. Plant - derived Pesticides: The application of matrine and azadirachtin in organic tea gardens is increasing, and the market size exceeded 1.2 billion yuan in 2024.
2. RNA Pesticides: China's first double - stranded RNA insecticide (targeting Plutella xylostella) has entered field trials and is expected to be commercialized in 2026.
V. International Market Dynamics
1. The Chinese Market
1. China's policy emphasizes "unconventional counter - cyclical regulation", with both fiscal and monetary policies being loose, which may provide financing support for pesticide enterprises. However, environmental protection reviews are becoming stricter, and small - scale enterprises face the risk of elimination. In addition, the acceleration of the aging of the rural population promotes the development of the outsourced pesticide application service model.
2. The European and American Markets
1. The European Green Deal requires a 50% reduction in the use of chemical pesticides by 2030, forcing enterprises to transform. In the United States, due to Trump's policies, some environmental protection restrictions may be relaxed, but trade protectionism has led to increased uncertainty in the export market.
3. Potential in Emerging Markets
1. Regions such as Southeast Asia and Latin America have become hotspots for the growth of pesticide demand due to agricultural expansion and frequent pest and disease outbreaks. For example, the expansion of the soybean planting area in Brazil has driven the demand for herbicides. It is expected that the growth rate of the Latin American market will reach 8% - 10% in 2025.
VI. Future Challenges and Opportunities
1. Challenges
1. Cost Pressure: Fluctuations in crude oil prices affect the costs of pesticide raw materials (such as benzene - based compounds). Crude oil may experience sharp fluctuations in 2025 due to changes in the Middle East situation.
2. Regulatory Risks: The "Farm to Fork" strategy proposed by the EU may further restrict the use of chemical pesticides.
2. Opportunities
1. Biotechnology Breakthroughs: The coordinated development of gene - edited crops and supporting pesticides, for example, insect - resistant genetically modified crops reduce the use of insecticides.
2. Circular Economy Model: The market potential of pesticide packaging recycling and waste treatment technologies (such as biodegradable packaging)
About CCM:
CCM is the leading market intelligence provider for China’s agriculture, chemicals, food & feed and life science markets. Founded in 2001, CCM offers a range of content solutions, from price and trade analysis to industry newsletters and customized market research reports. CCM is a brand of Kcomber Inc.
For more information about CCM, please visit www.cnchemicals.com or get in touch with us directly by emailing econtact@cnchemicals.com or calling +86-20-37616606.